fbpx

Mobile/Whatsapp

+995 599848487

Call Us For Free Consultation

Search
 

Articles

Legal Vista > Articles

Estonia and Georgia remain emerging Europe’s most free economies

As the world continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic, economic freedom will be more important than ever, says a new report from the Heritage Foundation. In emerging Europe, Estonia and Georgia continue to lead the way.

Estonia is once again the regional leader in the Heritage Foundation’s Index of Economic Freedom. The Baltic state ranks eighth globally, four places ahead of emerging Europe’s next best performer, Georgia.

“Many countries in the region delayed necessary policy decisions and reform actions, which caused problems that might have been avoided if those changes had occurred at the right time,” says Anthony Kim, one of the report’s authors. “But Estonia got this right, stayed true to its commitment to freedom, and has the results to show for it.”



“It is also notable that Estonia’s economy remains in the ‘mostly free’ category, where it has been since 2001,” Mr Kim tells Emerging Europe. “The biggest obstacles to the country’s ascendance to the exclusive ranks of the ‘free’ are its relatively low scores for government spending and labour freedom. Reforms that address high levels of government spending and lingering rigidities in labour regulations would promote investment and improve productivity.”

Ukraine is the region’s lowest ranked country, at 127th.

“Ukraine’s overall score is still below the regional and world averages,” says Mr Kim. “[Its] ranking improved slightly this year, but to maintain the momentum toward greater economic freedom, the government will need to boost investor confidence by continuing to upgrade the investment code and by undertaking deep and comprehensive reforms to strengthen rule-of-law institutions and improve the protection of property rights, judicial effectiveness, and government integrity.”

“The country has powerful yet not fully-tapped industrial and agricultural sectors, as well as relatively well-developed infrastructure. Ukraine’s IT sector is one of the best in the world and is progressing rapidly. To effectively integrate these industries into the process of advancing the country’s economic security and prosperity, Ukraine must open up its economic potential and more fully embrace the competitive free-market systems that guide development in the West,” he adds.

In Central Asia, Kazakhstan leads the way in 38th, with Turkmenistan bottom in 167th.

Economic_Freedom_CEE_Central_Asia

In all, the Heritage Foundation ranked 178 countries around the world, evaluating the extent and effectiveness of government activity in 12 areas known to have a significant impact on levels of economic growth and prosperity.

Policies that allow greater freedom in any of the areas measured tend to spur growth. Growth, in turn, is an essential element in generating more opportunities for people to advance themselves economically, thereby reducing poverty and building lasting prosperity.

Some aspects of economic freedom concern a country’s interactions with the rest of the world (for example, the extent of an economy’s openness to global investment or trade). Most, however, focus on policies within a country, assessing the liberty of individuals to use their labour or finances without undue restraint and government interference.

 

Economic freedom and human rights

There are some notable differences between the findings of the report and those of Freedom House, which also published its latest report, looking at human rights, earlier this week.

Kazakhstan, for example, is classified as Not Free when it comes to human rights, but is one of the region’s best performers in terms of economic freedom, ranked 34th globally, ahead of Belgium, Spain, and Poland.

Azerbaijan too ranks well in the Economic Freedom Index (38th) but is also classified as Not Free in regards to human rights.

“Human rights rankings are a lot more ‘focused’ and ‘survey’ based while the Economic Freedom Index is driven more by hard economic statistics,” says Mr Kim.

“Making and/or implementing economic policies is a bit more independent, or even immune from, the complex interplay of various politics and political systems. [Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan] are still struggling on various grounds (particularly the rule of law related to judicial independence and corruption) and are far behind the top tier, despite some progress.”


Unlike many news and information platforms, Emerging Europe is free to read, and always will be. There is no paywall here. We are independent, not affiliated with nor representing any political party or business organisation. We want the very best for emerging Europe, nothing more, nothing less. Your support will help us continue to spread the word about this amazing region.

Thank you.

A Country With a Great History and Even Greater Potential

Georgia is probably a place you don’t know much about,” said the late Anthony Bourdain when his “Parts Unknown” TV program filmed an episode about the country several years ago. “Few Americans, I suspect, could place it on a map. It’s small compared to the superpowers around it, but vital, its significance far exceeding its relative size.”

My conversations with an array of global investors and experts confirm that vitality and significance. More and more companies today know where to find it on a map.

But first, let’s get one thing straight: The country was first inhabited by the proto-Georgian tribes in the 12th century BC, giving Georgia a more than 3,000-year head start on the U.S. state of Georgia — a distinction Georgians find themselves constantly having to explain. Need further ways to distinguish the two? It helps to see the phonetic spelling and Georgian script for the country’s name: It sounds like “Sakartvelo,” and it looks like this: . Georgia is also known to be the oldest wine making region in the world, going back more than 8,000 years and giving Georgia another title as the “Cradle of Wine.”

But there are plenty of other things distinguishing this country from the crowd. It’s No. 7 in the world in the World Bank’s latest Ease of Doing Business report, for one. Already well known for its tourism and its business process outsourcing prowess, Georgia also is seeing increased momentum in manufacturing, and the dawning of an entirely new industrial and logistics ecosystem.

Israeli JV Finds New Home

ATC (Aero-Structure Technologies Cyclone), a JV between Israel’s Elbit Systems and the Georgian state-owned Partnership Fund, produces composite components for the civilian aircraft industry at a 150-employee site not far from the international airport of Tbilisi. Ari Weisbort helped locate that plant and run it. The former Israeli Air Force base commander and high-tech and aerospace industry leader moved to Georgia in 2018 to launch ATC.

“I knew nothing about Georgia,” he says. What he learned about were a number of conditions favorable for light industry, starting with a business-friendly tax scheme and low-cost land and power, but most importantly, skilled labor.

Map

“The operational costs are so much lower, there was no comparison,” says Weisbort, who today is following his dream to establish a modern industrial park for international companies near Tbilisi or Kutaisi. “It’s 25%, and not more than 40%, of the normal costs in Europe, the U.S. and Israel.” Those low costs extend to everyday amenities like hotel room service, where a burger, fries and a couple beers will run you around €13.

Portrait

Ari Weisbort

Enterprise Georgia Director Mikheil Khidureli says Georgia’s labor force is competitive and skilled. And for sectors that are developing now, subsidized training is available. “If you want to hire and train mechanics, for example, you can get financing from the government,” he says.

Georgia stands ready to make composite, electronic parts and components for aerospace or automotive employers, among other industrial sectors. Khidureli says the automotive and electronics sectors are heating up. The crucial foundational ingredient is the people.

“They are good people, with discipline, and they are striving to do more, to know more and to study more,” Weisbort says.

Portrait

Mikheil Khidureli, CEO, Enterprise Georgia

Enterprise Georgia has promoted tours for site location professionals and to support creative industries and shared intellectual services. Andrew Clutz, director, corporate investment & analytics at Site Selection’s parent company Conway Data, participated in one of those tours in 2020. He sees a young group of leaders who are “very switched on and supportive, pushing the country forward. The people are very focused on building a new society. You get the sense that they’re just so bought into the future of the country.”

AE Solar, founded in Königsbrunn, Germany, bought into the country in May 2019, when it opened its Georgian photovoltaic modules manufacturing facility, investing more than €10 million and employing around 140 today at the facility in Kutaisi (third largest city in the country).

Durbek Fattakhov, CEO of AE Solar Group and general director of AE Solar Georgia, says his team was pleasantly surprised by the level of technical skills in Georgia. Sales have progressed fast at a global sales office the company set up in Tbilisi, where Georgian team members speak multiple languages fluently.

Top-Notch Business Climate

According to Fattakhov, besides labor force, what attracted AE Solar to Georgia was the favorable business environment. In 2017, he says, “the AE Solar board of directors decided to establish new manufacturing in Europe as the EU, USA and India (which are among the main markets) imposed safeguard and antidumping duties against solar module manufacturers in China. We were considering several locations like Romania, Ukraine, Poland and Georgia, and among all aforementioned countries, Georgia was the most attractive because of transparency policy, tax legislation, labor law and location. Kutaisi was chosen because it is very close to Poti port, as well as production is located in a free industrial zone operated by Hualing Group, where we are importing our raw material and components duty-free and exporting afterwards, which is highly cost-effective.”

The country has four free trade zones, but the nominal land costs and government support amount to the country nearly being one big free zone already. Since 2017, corporate profit tax on reinvested profit is 0% and social security contribution is only 2%. Georgia’s stripped-down and streamlined tax scheme has produced the third-lowest overall tax rates in the world. “You can’t go lower than that,” says Khidureli, “Low taxes means low taxes.” Paying them is simple and transparent, with online payments via commercial banks minimizing procedures and bureaucracy.


Portrait

“With the addition of new incentives, Georgia can become first choice for companies who are considering diversification of their operations or looking for a near-shoring destination.”

— Natia Turnava, Georgia Minister of Economy and Sustainable Development

For Fattakhov, ease of doing business is a day-to-day experience, not an exercise in analytics. “I lived in Dubai, UAE, for over four years and moved to Georgia in August 2017,” he says. “The Ease of Doing Business index is not just an index, but it is a true story when we are talking about Georgia, as I have seen so many challenges when I was working in Dubai. In just three years I’m not facing the bureaucracy when it comes to day-to-day operation of our company, registration of assets and interconnection with the revenue office.” Support from Enterprise Georgia with project financing also has been a valuable and steadying influence.

Andrew Clutz vouches for that efficiency and effectiveness, noting a highly automated customs clearance process and centralized services offices, modeled after Estonia’s system, in multiple locations in Georgia’s main cities. “You can register a company, register property, get a passport, marriage license or even get a divorce within an hour,” he says of his recent visit. “We could have registered a company right there and then.”

Market Access

Georgia has been successful in reforms and is quickly becoming intertwined in global value chains.

Mark McCord is chief of party for the Economic Security Program of the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID). The five-year program aims to support the creation of up to 4,000 new jobs through outreach to some 600 small and medium-sized enterprises. Asked to describe the evolution of the company’s business climate, McCord says, “Georgia’s transition to a business-friendly economic system over the last 20 years has been nothing short of miraculous. I first visited the country in 1998 … In the 22 years since, the transformation has been profound not just in terms of international report rankings but in the modernization of the country. Hundreds of millions of dollars have been spent in infrastructure improvements, corruption has been reduced to virtually zero, and business-friendly processes have been integrated into the economic mainstream. Georgia’s workforce during that period has transitioned to one of the most productive in the region, and the country has become a shining example of stability in terms of investment.”

At just 9.9%, Georgia
has the world’s third lowest total tax and contribution rate on profit.

Catarina Bjorlin Hansen is director and regional director, Caucasus, for the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD). As of spring 2019, the EBRD had invested over €7.77 billion in the Caucasus through 564 projects, from wind and hydropower to a Singaporean hazelnut producer and the global expansion ambitions of a Georgian producer of medical supplies. She too notes the progress made over the past generation.

“There is now reliable electricity supply (75% of the country’s electricity supply is from renewable energy sources), and water, wastewater and solid waste collection services are well-functioning,” she says. “The road network is being upgraded, and while there are still some stretches to be covered, the progress is visible. Railway services work well. Prior to the COVID-19 crisis I would have said that Georgia should consider extending the airport in Tbilisi. I hope this will soon be the case again. The Kutaisi and Batumi airports provide alternatives, so the country is well covered. Thus, all basic infrastructure required for business needs is in place. Looking forward, Georgia needs to enhance its port capacity on the Black Sea coast and its air cargo facilities. I believe logistics centers and cold storage facilities would be useful complementary investment as well.”

Portrait

Mark T. McCord, Chief of Party, USAID Economic Security Program

The country’s broadband network is already 70% deployed, and expanding higher education resources include the new Kutaisi International University, set to become the hub of STEM fields in Georgia and the region overall.

“One of the key benefits of doing business in Georgia for international companies is accessibility,” says Hansen. “There is easy access to the country (liberal visa regime), easy access to decision-makers and authorities, a well-functioning banking system ensures access to finance, there is access to information in English, access to health care, and a wide range of international schooling options. Companies based in Georgia also have excellent accessibility in terms of export potential to the EU and the CIS countries.”

The Association Agreement with EU was signed and ratified in 2014, including the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA). In 2016, Georgia signed an FTA with EFTA countries, giving Georgian products duty-free access to the markets of Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland.

Portrait

Catarina Bjorlin Hansen, Director, Regional Head Caucasus, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

Since then, Georgia has concluded a free trade agreement with the People’s Republic of China (including Hong Kong). With previously existing FTAs with CIS and neighboring countries (Turkey, Azerbaijan and Armenia), Georgia now provides customs duty-free access to a market of 2.3 billion people.

General Schemes of Preference for Georgia with the U.S., Canada and Japan have also been applied for, with the result being lower tariffs on 3,400 goods exported from Georgia.

Enterprise Georgia’s Mikheil Khidureli says a number of companies from European and Asian countries are considering Georgia as a near-shoring option.

Grand Tour Can Turn into Much More

Today you can add to Georgia’s industrial production another type of production: the film and TV scene. The British motoring show “Grand Tour” filmed an episode in 2019, and a certain motion picture franchise just sped through.

“We managed to attract ‘Fast and Furious 9.’ So after that the interest has been huge,” says Khidureli. The film is scheduled to open in spring 2021, when, he says, a lot of Americans will learn about the other Georgia across the Atlantic.


“Georgia is a hidden jewel. We are excited to continue to invest there because it continues to pay off in a lot of ways.”

— Alexander Mironenko, Country Manager, Majorel Georgia, which employs more than 1,600 associates

“Hollywood has Georgia on the map, again because of the low bureaucracy, and flexible communication with government,” he says. “This shooting was quite late. We had to basically handle very difficult stuff like importing weapons in a couple of days. They were amazed at how quickly the government responded. It was a huge thing for the country.”

Blend that exposure with an already vibrant tourism economy, and you have a recipe for a very potent point of entrée.

Portrait

Durbek Fattakhov, COO, AE Solar Group and General Director, AE Solar Georgia

“We’ve had interesting instances of investors coming as tourists, and after falling in love with the country, they started to invest — it’s connected,” says Khidureli. “If the investor is looking at three countries, and the offers are the same, then the personal and emotional aspects comes in. This is a facet you should not underestimate.”

“The people here are very friendly,” says Ari Weisbort. “I was a kibbutznik in Israel. Everyone knows everyone. This is a very warm environment. I felt at home from the first day.”

“We have just started the ‘Work from Georgia’ program, making very easy regulations for freelancers to come and work here,” says Khidureli. “There have been about 1,100 applications, with 700 approved and 200 already here. We have a great climate, food, wine, mountains, sea and welcoming people.

wine country

The birthplace of wine, Georgia is filled with winemaking regions such as Kakheti, east of Tbilisi, and home to more than 500 varieties of indigenous grapes — roughly one-sixth of the world’s total grape varieties.

“Georgia has a soul,” he says. “High skyscrapers are impressive to look at, but they are not an emotional presence. Georgia gives you a feeling you will never forget.”


Investing in Georgia

There has never been a better time to invest in Georgia, and the country is more open to new business, new ideas and new investors than ever before.

According to the Georgian National Statistics Office, between January and September 2017 Georgia received 1,346 million US dollars in foreign direct investment, more than 38 million US dollars higher than 2016. The most common investment sectors are transport, communication and construction.

A lot of things have improved in Georgia since 2003. The ease of doing business, a supportive environment for investment and government cooperation are the main advantages. According to Mercy Tambon, country manager of the World Bank in Georgia, reformist tendencies are the main factor which distinguishes Georgia from its neighbours.

“The business environment in Georgia is very conducive for investors to come here,” Mrs Tambon told Emerging Europe. “It’s straightforward to open a business; it’s effortless to get your documents or process them. If you go to the justice house, it’s like a one-stop shop where you submit your documents at one end, and in less than a day, in a couple of hours, they come out of the other end.”

Last September the World Bank and Georgia celebrated 25 years of cooperation. The organisation was one of the first, in 1992, to start working in Georgia. During this period more than 4.3 billion US dollars has been invested by the organisation.

“We’ve supported the government in carrying out reforms that have improved the business environment. As you can see, Georgia is one of the leaders of doing business in the world rankings because it’s a very reformist government. It has put in place the reforms that attract investors to come,” said Mrs Tambon.

Cooperation

Besides the World Bank, EBRD-Georgia cooperation is also 25 years old. Areas of cooperation include not only agriculture, banking or infrastructural projects but policy reforms and legislative improvement. In this sense, a significant initiative was ‘The Investors Council,’ which brings together the most representative local and foreign business associations.

“The investment and the activities of the EBRD in Georgia are one of the largest per capita in the whole of the EBRD countries of operation,” Bruno Balvanera, director of EBRD in South Caucasus, told Emerging Europe.

Many investors consider the banking sector in Georgia as one of the most stable areas of the country’s economy. It is more than 22 years since the International Financial Organisation (IFO) began supporting banking in Georgia. Jan von Bilsen, the IFO regional manager for the South Caucasus considers that the efficient banking sector in Georgia is a vital support network for the region as.

International organisations are not the only support networks in Georgia. There are companies and business people, working in Georgia since very early periods of its independence. One of them is British Petroleum (BP), which started operating in Georgia 21 years ago and has implemented such crucial projects as the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan or Baku-Supsa pipelines.

“We don’t produce any oil and gas in Georgia to put into these pipelines. We just operate the pipelines through Georgia. Gas is one of the benefits for Georgia,’ said Chris Schlueter, BP’s general manager in Georgia. “A significant portion of the gas that Georgia uses comes from our pipelines,” he told Emerging Europe.

Arab interest

Besides companies there are individual businessmen in Georgia who saw the potential of the early 1990s. Fady Asly, chairman of the International Chamber of Commerce in Georgia, arrived in 1996. Despite difficulties in his first years, he is now happy to talk about the considerable improvement of the business environment. He said that Arabs are very interested in Georgia, both for tourist and investment reasons.

“The investment climate has improved a lot in the past couple of years,” he told Emerging Europe. “The main challenge remains the judiciary, which still lacks credibility; of course everything is not perfect, the same as for any other country, but there is no doubt that Georgia is one of the very best places to do business.”

Tourism, hospitality, infrastructure and manufacturing are the best areas in which to invest, says Fady Asly, and all the major donors agree. A sign of the country’s enormous potential is the number of tourists, which increases year by year and reached seven million in 2017. Despite levels of service, which still need improvement, with the help of the World Bank, the government now has a clear tourism strategy, creating infrastructure, not least better roads. Several museums and resorts have been restored, and advertisements have run on international media.

“Tourism is huge and growing like mad here,” said Chris Schlueter, “it’s one of the main areas of investment, like agriculture.”

Agriculture

Agriculture remains a priority for the Georgian government, especially since it signed an association agreement and DCFTA with the EU. Agriculture is an area which continues to see huge investment. The government has several projects up and running in conjunction with the EBRD and World Bank, which supports irrigation, agro-business, greenhouses and horticulture. The government also has funds for small and medium-sized farmers, but there is still not enough cooperation. Donors feel that the country should concentrate on improving the level of exports.

Paul Clark, a consultant and the founder of the consulting firm TBSC, and who has lived in Georgia for more than 20 years, believes that problem-solving in agriculture is connected to farming. He does not believe in funds for cooperation or small farms, and thinks that the government should have a long-term plan and invest heavily in large-scale farming.

“The future is in big agriculture,” he says. “Do everything that is necessary to create 500 hectare farms all over Georgia. As many as you can. As fast as you can. This requires government intervention. The largest farms here have maybe 200 cows.” Mr Clark believes that DCFTA will improve the quality of products on the domestic market as well.

“I think the EU commission and probably the Georgian government have oversold it. They haven’t explained to people how radically things need to change domestically first before you get the export benefit later. In food, for instance: it is not only food for export which needs to meet certain standards. That’s not that the way it works. All food sold in Georgia must be suitable for the EU before they can export it.”

Labour skills

Investors are getting involved in changing the make-up of the labour force as well. One of the most significant challenges for the country remains a lack of qualified people, or at least people with the right qualifications.

“If an investor is coming to spend their money, you want to make sure that you can hire locals who have the skills you need,” says the World Bank’s Mercy Tambon. “It is true that there are plenty of university graduates, but the skills that these graduates have are not necessarily the skills that today’s labour market needs.”

However, she and other interviewees pointed out that the government has understood what the challenges are, and is trying to deal with market demands. As the 21st century’s main focus is on technology, the government should use young people’s potential in the field of technology. To help achieve this, technical parks have been created in the big cities of Georgia. Bruno Balvanera believes that the Georgian government has adapted quickly to technology. As the country was one of the first to begin using blockchain technology, the EBRD has been involved in creating a mining policy for Georgia.

Positive outlook

“The outlook on Georgia is positive,” says Mercy Tembon. “Exports are increasing, foreign direct investment and the private sector are expanding. They are doing everything possible to develop skills. They’re integrating into the global economy. They have all the right ingredients in place. All that is left is just to continue to maintain prudent macro-fiscal policies and open up the private sector a lot more.”

“My advice to the government is to stop thinking about tomorrow. Think about 30 years from now. People do look ahead: they look at immediate problems which need to be solved, but this does not necessarily get you to where you want to be in 30 years time. This is true in every sector,” says Paul Clark, founder of TBSC.

Besides its progress and western-looking outlook, Georgia also has significant geographical advantages. Investors see the country as having an excellent opportunity to become a corridor between the East and the West, while also assisting regional countries with integration and setting itself up as a regional hub for South Caucasus countries. This is a strength which has to be used.

Despite a number of challenges, donors and investors appreciate the desire of the government and society to transform Georgia into a western country. The proof of this willingness is that while governments change the direction of the country does not; this is not always the case with a young democracy, and is a sign that all stakeholders can collaborate, and must continue to do so.

BOG Facilitates Sales of Securities to Foreign Investors

The Bank of Georgia has announced plans to facilitate foreign investors' purchasing of securities issued by Georgian comapnies.

From now, even private companies will be able to save and buy securities through the international central security depository Clearstream.

Clearstream is an important player in the securities services industry with consistently high credit ratings. As an international central
securities depository they ease and provide post-trade infrastructure and securities services worldwide. The company entered Georgia in
2016, giving foreign investors the possibility to make safe investments in the Georgian securitities market.

This will ease access, especially for private companies, as before only international financial institutions were able to save and buy
securities. This step aims to make Georgia more attractive for foreign investors and ensure a positive trend in the economic prosperity of the
country.

March 12, 2019 the first transaction of the Georgian corporate bond was implemented with this system.
"Thousands of clients of Clearstream who have accounts in foreign currency are able to simply add a sub-account in Georgian national
currency Lari and buy or save Georgian securities. To go through these procedures by themselves would cost more for the investors and
they would probably refrain from investing in Georgia”, said the National Bank of Georgia.

Georgia & Silk Roads: Belt & Road Initiative

The ancient Silk Road, or as it is more often called nowadays silk roads, was an ancient trade route from eastern China to various major markets of the ancient and medieval periods (Roman/Byzantine empires, Sasanian Iran, the Arab Caliphate, etc). An important aspect to those trade routes was their changeability over time. This depended mostly on the political situation in the Middle East and this necessitated the seeking out of alternative routes to get important products from Central Asia and western China.
Contrary to widespread arguments, Georgia appeared on those trade routes only from time to time as a result of political disturbances (invasions, economic problems, etc.) in the region. The trade route across Georgia passed from North to South, from Georgia itself further south to Armenia and Iran as well as from East to West. Thus it is difficult to say that Georgia was either totally absent or dominated ancient and medieval trade routes. The Russians at times opened the Georgian transit route for European products to reach Iran in the 19th century. But the success of this commercial road ultimately depended on Russian political decisions. As is also well known that in Soviet times, virtually no international trade routes ran through Georgia as the Union was a closed-border one.
Thus, for the first time in many centuries, Georgia now has the chance to become a transit corridor for trade and energy from the Caspian area, Central Asia and even from western China. Refocusing on Georgia’s transit potential is linked to China’s economic and military rise which is arguably one of the central themes in 21st century geopolitics. Like many other rising powers throughout history, China has strategic imperatives that clash with those of the US. Beijing needs to secure its procurement of oil and gas resources, which are currently most available through the Malacca Strait. In an age of US naval dominance, the Chinese imperative is to redirect its economy’s dependence, as well as its supply routes, elsewhere.
This is how it comes to the almost trillion-dollar Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which is intended to reconnect the Asia-Pacific with Europe through Russia, the Middle East, and Central Asia. There are several major corridors pinpointed by the Chinese:
1. China to Europe through the New Eurasian Land Bridge;
2. The China-Mongolia-Russian Corridor;
3. Central and West Asian countries.
4. The China-Indochina Peninsula Corridor linking China with the South Pacific Ocean through the South China Sea;
5. The China-Pakistan trade corridor;
6. The Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar trade route.
As seen, neither Georgia nor the South Caucasus feature on the list and many analysts think that this is proof that China will unlikely be interested in the South Caucasian route. Yet, the nature of the BRI is not static; it undergoes constant changes and it is likely that Beijing will always adjust its trade routes to rising challenges and new opportunities, trying to operate through difficult geographic terrain as well as politically unstable regions. These are Beijing’s major enemies which make any routes vulnerable and susceptible to re-routing. And this is very much similar to how transcontinental trade routes operated in ancient and medieval periods.
Thus China has and is likely to have in future, an individual approach to each country, which makes the fact that Georgia does not feature on the above-mentioned list of trade routes not an obstacle per se. China is responding to rising opportunities and in that sense Georgia’s ability to develop its Black Sea ports, internal railway and highway networks will facilitate China’s decisions on the active inclusion of the South Caucasian route in its BRI or any future commercial undertakings.
Surely the Chinese also look at the security of the South Caucasus and it is difficult to imagine that Beijing will not take into account Russian moves in the region. Mitigating the Russian challenge together with opening the Georgian market to other powerful players in Eurasia is arguably a modus vivendi for the region’s successful development.